Marketing & Advertising · Search marketing

Check your own data before shifting budget to AI channels

In short A gap in ad revenue growth between Meta and Google doesn't prove chatbots are taking search traffic, so marketers should check their own channel data first.

Meta’s advertising revenue jumped 26% to $63.1 billion in Q3. Google’s search revenue grew 12% to $63.4 billion.

CNBC and MediaPost suggest the difference reflects people turning to chatbots instead of clicking Google links.

Maybe. But the numbers don’t establish that.

Here’s another number worth considering: Google’s paid search clicks actually increased 8% during the quarter.

So where’s the evidence that chatbot adoption explains the difference?

AI is changing search behavior. That’s worth taking seriously. But a difference in advertising growth rates isn’t proof of why it’s happening.

Before you start moving marketing budgets, look at your own data.

Pull your organic traffic for the last several quarters. Check Google Search Console for changes in clicks, impressions, and queries. Look at referrals from ChatGPT and other AI platforms. Compare conversion rates and revenue by source.

A smaller traffic source that converts better may be worth more than a larger one.

If organic traffic is holding steady, there’s little reason to change course based on a headline. If it’s declining, identify which pages and queries are losing traffic before deciding what’s responsible.

And don’t confuse a decline in organic clicks with a reason to cut paid search spending.

The opportunity isn’t to abandon Google for AI. It’s to understand where your customers are finding you and which channels actually produce business.

Follow the evidence. Not the headlines.

Responding to Q3 Results For Google, Meta Show Chatbots Outpacing Search, MediaPost.com

Originally posted on LinkedIn →

Topics Search marketing · AI and search behavior · Marketing analytics · Budget allocation

Jerry West

About the author

Jerry West

Tests SEO and marketing tactics across 900+ sites to see what works

Jerry West has spent more than three decades in digital marketing, starting with SEO in 1996 and founding his own agency in 1998. He tests optimization strategies across a network of more than 900 websites and domains. Jerry now advises businesses on organic visibility amid AI-generated search results.

More from Jerry →

Work with Jerry

Send a message through the Index. Jerry replies directly.

Your message is emailed to Jerry. We don't share your address with anyone else.